Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siello vs Mexico

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Yerpes D.
80' Event
Martin Bartolome D.
89'
Dimas V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Siello and Mexico finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Siello
20%
Draws
36%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Siello have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Mexico are scoring more at 1.16.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Siello taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Siello Clean Sheet 18%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siello Mexico
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Siello
0:1
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Siello
3:1
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
0:2
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Yerpes D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin Bartolome D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corral S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siello 36 / 100
Mexico 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siello Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Siello scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Siello remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siello VS Mexico
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siello

(Home)
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
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Mexico

(Away)
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)