Sport Picks
Sierra Leone vs Liberia Prediction & H2H Stats
Africa
African Nations Championship 
Match Events
3'
3'
Kumeh L.
22'
22'
Suffian K.
58'
58'
Kabia A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Liberia have managed 0.96 goals a game lately — Sierra Leone are scoring more at 1.1.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Liberia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 20%
Liberia Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sierra Leone | Liberia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Sierra Leone
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Sierra Leone vs Liberia
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 African Nations Championship
Liberia vs Sierra Leone
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 African Nations Championship
Sierra Leone vs Liberia
1:2
Mar 27, 2022 Friendly International
Liberia vs Sierra Leone
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sierra Leone Compare
Top Goalscorer Suffian K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Liberia Compare
Top Goalscorer Kumeh L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sierra Leone 32 / 100
Liberia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sierra Leone Liberia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liberia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
Sierra Leone scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Liberia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sierra Leone VS Liberia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sierra Leone
(Home) 28 Sept
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 0 Sierra Leone
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3 Zimbabwe
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1 Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1 Sierra Leone
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3 Zimbabwe
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
08 Oct
Sierra Leone
0 : 1 Burkina Faso
09 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 0 Ethiopia
20 Mar
Sierra Leone
3 : 1 Guinea Bissau
Page 1 of 3
Liberia
(Away) 29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1 Mali
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1 Liberia
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1 Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2 Libya
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1 Liberia
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0 Liberia
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0 Liberia
13 Oct
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Liberia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
