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Silva SD vs CD Castro

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Silva SD and CD Castro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Silva SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Silva SD
30%
Draws
6%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Silva SD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Silva SD a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 20%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silva SD CD Castro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs CD Castro
1:0
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Silva SD
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silva SD 85 / 100
CD Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silva SD CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Silva SD stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Silva SD's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: CD Castro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Silva SD VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Silva SD

(Home)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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