Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Mogadishu City

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CECAFA Kagame Cup tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Simba
22%
Draws
18%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than Mogadishu City.
  • Simba are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Simba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Mogadishu City
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 21 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 0 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Simba vs Mogadishu City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 68 / 100
Mogadishu City 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mogadishu City conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Mogadishu City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0
Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3
Simba
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Mogadishu City

(Away)
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers22004:06
2Mahia21015:13
3APR21013:63
4Garde Republicaine20021:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus11002:03
2Simba10100:01
3Mogadishu City10100:01
4Singida Black Stars10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman11002:03
2Rayon Sport11002:03
3Tusker10010:20
4KVZ10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams