Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simrishamn vs Hogaborgs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Touray A.
61' Event
Branting A.
71' Event
Al Kafafi E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 game between Simrishamn and Hogaborgs finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hogaborgs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Simrishamn
20%
Draws
64%
Hogaborgs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hogaborgs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hogaborgs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 10%
Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simrishamn Hogaborgs
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Hogaborgs
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Simrishamn
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simrishamn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Hogaborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Branting A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simrishamn 34 / 100
Hogaborgs 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simrishamn Hogaborgs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogaborgs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hogaborgs conceded in 86% of 35 recent games.

Simrishamn scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Hogaborgs has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Simrishamn VS Hogaborgs
0 Goals Scored 2.25
6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Simrishamn

(Home)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 6

Hogaborgs

(Away)
19 Aug
Hogaborgs
0 : 4
Oster
03 Jun
Hogaborgs
2 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Feb
Angelholm
3 : 0
Hogaborgs
01 Nov
Hogaborgs
1 : 4
Staffanstorp United
25 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 4
Hogaborgs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)