Sport Picks

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Singida United vs Kagera Sugar

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sabato K.
47' Event
Sey S.
(Penalty)
62'

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Singida United and Kagera Sugar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kagera Sugar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Singida United
20%
Draws
32%
Kagera Sugar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Singida United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Kagera Sugar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Singida United Clean Sheet 21%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida United Kagera Sugar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.7 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida United vs Kagera Sugar
1:2
Feb 1, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Singida United
3:0
Apr 6, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida United vs Kagera Sugar
2:1
Nov 7, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Singida United
1:1
Feb 17, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Singida United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Kagera Sugar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabato K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Awesu A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida United 37 / 100
Kagera Sugar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida United Kagera Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kagera Sugar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kagera Sugar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Kagera Sugar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Singida United scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kagera Sugar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida United

(Home)
26 Jul
Singida United
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
22 Jul
Singida United
1 : 2
Kagera Sugar
18 Jul
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 2
Singida United
15 Jul
Young Africans
3 : 1
Singida United
08 Jul
Kinondoni MC
2 : 0
Singida United
Page 1 of 6

Kagera Sugar

(Away)
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)