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Sion vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
2 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Kololli B. In: Surdez F.
Out: Kololli B.
22' Event
Boteli W.
Assist: Chouaref I.
23' Event
Chouaref I.
Assist: Berdayes T.

AI Match Summary

Sion in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sion
22%
Draws
18%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Thun have won more games recently than Sion.
  • Win probability leans Sion's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sion Clean Sheet 15%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sion Thun
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 3.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Sion vs Thun
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Sion
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Sion
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Sion vs Thun
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Sion vs Thun
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sion Compare

Top Goalscorer Boteli W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chouaref I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Thun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sion 57 / 100
Thun 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sion Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sion scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Thun let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sion VS Thun
3.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sion

(Home)
26 Jul
Young Boys
4 : 2
Sion
23 Jul
BATE
1 : 1
Sion
17 Jul
Sion
4 : 0
Annecy
12 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 3
Sion
01 Jul
Xamax
2 : 4
Sion
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
28 Jul
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Thun
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun382431180:5275
2St. Gallen382010872:4770
3Lugano381910959:4267
4Sion381615763:4063
5Basel381681455:5856
6Young Boys3815101380:6955
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)