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Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Saint Louis Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL Premier Development League 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2007 game between Sioux Falls Spitfire and Saint Louis finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sioux Falls Spitfire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sioux Falls Spitfire
15%
Draws
51%
Saint Louis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint Louis come out ahead of Sioux Falls Spitfire on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Saint Louis's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sioux Falls Spitfire Clean Sheet 20%
Saint Louis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sioux Falls Spitfire Saint Louis
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 3 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.94 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2007 USL League Two
Saint Louis vs Sioux Falls Spitfire
3:1
May 19, 2007 USL League Two
Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Saint Louis
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sioux Falls Spitfire 12 / 100
Saint Louis 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sioux Falls Spitfire Saint Louis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Louis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Louis let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Sioux Falls Spitfire found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (16 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sioux Falls Spitfire remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saint Louis
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sioux Falls Spitfire

(Home)
14 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
6 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
13 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
0 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
08 Jul
Sioux Falls Spitfire
4 : 1
Kansas City Brass
06 Jul
Colorado Rapids U23
4 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
01 Jul
St. Louis Lions
2 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
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Saint Louis

(Away)
15 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
09 Jul
FC Manitoba
4 : 1
Saint Louis
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
1 : 3
Saint Louis
05 Jul
Chicago United
1 : 0
Saint Louis
02 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
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