Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Nicola De Simone

Audace Cerignola

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Siracusa play Audace Cerignola in the Serie C - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Siracusa averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Audace Cerignola averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Siracusa won 0, Audace Cerignola won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Siracusa and 1.50 for Audace Cerignola. This points to a Audace Cerignola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Siracusa

32%

Draws

43%

Audace Cerignola

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Audace Cerignola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Siracusa picked up more points recently compared to Audace Cerignola.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Siracusa Clean Sheet 16%

Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Siracusa	Audace Cerignola
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	13
Draws	10	9
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.47	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group C

Siracusa vs Audace Cerignola

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Sep 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C

Audace Cerignola vs Siracusa

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambale D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 26 / 100

Audace Cerignola 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Siracusa Audace Cerignola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Audace Cerignola or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Siracusa attacking → ← attacking Audace Cerignola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Audace Cerignola let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Siracusa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Audace Cerignola lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 48

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benevento	38	25	7	6	74:28	82
2	Catania	38	19	13	6	54:25	70
3	Salernitana	38	20	9	9	50:42	69
4	Cosenza	38	19	10	9	58:40	67
5	Casertana	38	19	9	10	55:44	66
6	Crotone	38	18	7	13	59:40	61
7	Monopoli	38	15	11	12	39:41	56
8	Casarano	38	16	8	14	56:57	56
9	Audace Cerignola	38	14	12	12	50:54	54
10	Potenza	38	12	13	13	54:56	49
11	Atalanta U23	38	11	12	15	53:50	45
12	Altamura	38	11	12	15	32:49	45
13	Latina	38	10	12	16	35:44	42
14	Cavese	38	9	15	14	36:42	42
15	Picerno	38	9	13	16	43:55	40
16	Sorrento	38	9	12	17	39:55	39
17	Giugliano	38	9	10	19	35:52	37
18	Foggia	38	6	9	23	28:60	27
19	Siracusa	38	9	10	19	48:57	26
20	Trapani	38	13	10	15	47:54	24