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Sitra vs Al-Shabbab

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Al Qassab H.
(Penalty)
38'
Hassan O.
70' Event
Al Akram M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sitra and Al-Shabbab finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Sitra
20%
Draws
17%
Al-Shabbab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Sitra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sitra a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sitra Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sitra Al-Shabbab
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.84 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Sitra
1:3
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Sitra
2:2
May 3, 2024 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sitra Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Akram M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Shabbab Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sitra 95 / 100
Al-Shabbab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sitra Al-Shabbab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sitra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sitra has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Shabbab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Al-Shabbab's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sitra VS Al-Shabbab
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sitra

(Home)
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al-Hidd
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
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Al-Shabbab

(Away)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)