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Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Sittard Logo

Sittard

0 - 2
FT
AZ Alkmaar Logo

AZ Alkmaar

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Romeny O.
46'
Sub
Weslley Patati In: Stengs C.
Out: Weslley Patati
46'
Sub
Kwakman D. In: Hornkamp J.
Out: Kwakman D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between Sittard and AZ Alkmaar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sittard
35%
Draws
28%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sittard have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — AZ Alkmaar are scoring more at 2.07.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sittard Clean Sheet 17%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.55 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Sittard
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
4:3
Feb 23, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Sittard
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hornkamp J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard 30 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittard found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Sittard stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sittard VS AZ Alkmaar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard

(Home)
31 Oct
Feyenoord
1 : 1
Sittard
28 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3
Sittard
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0
Excelsior
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Sittard
10 Oct
Sittard
1 : 1
Twente
Page 1 of 6

AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
31 Oct
Ajax
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
25 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2
Twente
22 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
0 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
18 Oct
Cambuur
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 11 7 2 2 28:10 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 11 4 3 4 26:24 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 20:26 12
12 Utrecht 11 3 3 5 19:31 12
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Zwolle 11 3 2 6 12:23 11
15 Excelsior 11 3 2 6 16:28 11
16 Telstar 11 2 3 6 16:23 9
17 Den Haag 11 1 3 7 13:24 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)