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Sittard vs Lierse SK

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hubner J.
'
'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sittard and Lierse SK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sittard
20%
Draws
29%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sittard come out ahead of Lierse SK on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sittard a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sittard Clean Sheet 10%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard Lierse SK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Sittard vs Lierse SK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Hubner J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lierse SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard 47 / 100
Lierse SK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard Lierse SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittard's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lierse SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sittard stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sittard VS Lierse SK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard

(Home)
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
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Lierse SK

(Away)
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
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