Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

Sittard

3 - 2

Zwolle

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Duijvestijn L.

Assist: Sierhuis K.

42'

Sub

de Rooij K. In: Reiziger G.

Out: de Rooij K.

50'

Oukili Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sittard in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sittard

20%

Draws

38%

Zwolle

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Sittard at 1.13 per game, Zwolle at 1.
42% — that's where the model lands on Sittard taking it.
Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%

Sittard Clean Sheet 19%

Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sittard	Zwolle
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie

Sittard vs Zwolle

3:2

Dec 13, 2025 Eredivisie

Zwolle vs Sittard

1:0

Jan 26, 2025 Eredivisie

Sittard vs Zwolle

1:4

Nov 9, 2024 Eredivisie

Zwolle vs Sittard

3:1

Mar 16, 2024 Eredivisie

Sittard vs Zwolle

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Duijvestijn L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oukili Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Reiziger G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Buurmeester Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard 42 / 100

Zwolle 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sittard Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sittard scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Zwolle has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sittard remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sittard VS Zwolle

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard

(Home)

17 Jul

Olympiacos Piraeus

3 : 1

Sittard

11 Jul

Sittard

2 : 1

Genk

03 Jul

Sittard

1 : 0

Lierse SK

17 May

Utrecht

2 : 0

Sittard

10 May

Sittard

3 : 2

Zwolle

Page 1 of 6

Zwolle

(Away)

18 Jul

Zwolle

3 : 2

Cercle Brugge

11 Jul

Zwolle

0 : 1

Al Jazira

17 May

Zwolle

0 : 2

Feyenoord

10 May

Sittard

3 : 2

Zwolle

03 May

Zwolle

1 : 0

Heracles

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101:45	84
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	65
3	Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	58
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	56
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	43
11	Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	39
12	G.A. Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	38
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	38
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	37
15	Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	37
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	29
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	19

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)

Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)

Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)

Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)