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Stadium Background

Sittard vs Zwolle

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Sittard Logo

Sittard

3 - 2
FT
Zwolle Logo

Zwolle

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Duijvestijn L.
Assist: Sierhuis K.
42'
Sub
de Rooij K. In: Reiziger G.
Out: de Rooij K.
50' Event
Oukili Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sittard in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sittard
15%
Draws
26%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sittard lately — more wins on the board than Zwolle.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Sittard taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sittard Clean Sheet 13%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard Zwolle
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Zwolle
3:2
Dec 13, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Sittard
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Zwolle
1:4
Nov 9, 2024 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Sittard
3:1
Mar 16, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Zwolle
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Duijvestijn L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oukili Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Reiziger G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buurmeester Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard 84 / 100
Zwolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sittard scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Zwolle has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sittard remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sittard VS Zwolle
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard

(Home)
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
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Zwolle

(Away)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)