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Sivasspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Celik C.
26'
Sub
Erdogan O. In: Celik M.
Out: Erdogan O.
34' Event
Duymaz O. F.
Assist: Sambissa D.

AI Match Summary

Istanbulspor AS in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istanbulspor AS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sivasspor
6%
Draws
90%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sivasspor at 1.38 per game, Istanbulspor AS at 1.13.
  • Model gives Istanbulspor AS a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 18%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivasspor Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Istanbulspor AS
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Sivasspor
2:1
May 17, 2024 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Sivasspor
1:3
Dec 23, 2023 Super Lig
Sivasspor vs Istanbulspor AS
1:0
Jul 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Sivasspor vs Istanbulspor AS
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Celik C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Duymaz O. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sambissa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 10 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivasspor Istanbulspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Istanbulspor AS let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sivasspor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sivasspor VS Istanbulspor AS
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sivasspor

(Home)
02 May
Bandirmaspor
1 : 0
Sivasspor
26 Apr
Sivasspor
2 : 1
Igdir FK
19 Apr
Corum FK
3 : 1
Sivasspor
13 Apr
Sivasspor
1 : 3
Istanbulspor AS
09 Apr
Boluspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
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Istanbulspor AS

(Away)
24 Jul
Eyupspor
2 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
12 Jul
Kasimpasa
1 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1
Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Vanspor FK
1 : 3
Istanbulspor AS
19 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
3 : 1
Sariyer
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
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