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Stadium Background

Skanste vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Grazis A.
33' Event
Poluhovics A.
Assist: Ivanovs M.
51' Event
Grazis A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Skanste and Riga Mariners finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Skanste
15%
Draws
59%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga Mariners come out ahead of Skanste on wins alone.
  • Model gives Riga Mariners a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Riga Mariners have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Riga Mariners
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 19
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Riga Mariners
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Riga Mariners
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga Mariners vs Skanste
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanste Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poluhovics A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Riga Mariners's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Skanste went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS Riga Mariners
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Skanste

(Home)
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Skanste
18 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
Valmiera
11 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
JFK Ventspils
04 Jul
FK Metta
3 : 1
Skanste
Page 1 of 6

Riga Mariners

(Away)
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3
Riga Mariners
25 Jul
Riga Mariners
1 : 1
JFK Ventspils
18 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Riga Mariners
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
04 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 4
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 15 12 2 1 40:13 38
2 FK Metta 15 12 2 1 57:13 38
3 Leevon PPK 15 10 3 2 26:18 33
4 Riga Mariners 15 9 5 1 30:13 32
5 Alberts JDFS 15 7 4 4 30:23 25
6 Marupe 15 7 1 7 26:24 22
7 Riga FC 2 15 6 2 7 23:28 20
8 Super Nova 2 15 5 5 5 21:23 20
9 Skanste 15 5 1 9 25:31 16
10 Tukums 2000 2 15 3 3 9 19:41 12
11 RFS 2 15 3 3 9 21:33 12
12 JFK Ventspils 15 2 5 8 18:26 11
13 FK Smiltene 15 2 4 9 18:39 10
14 Rezekne 15 1 2 12 12:41 5
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