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Skarp vs Kirkenes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 12
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kirkenes in this Division 3 - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kirkenes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Skarp
30%
Draws
41%
Kirkenes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kirkenes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Skarp haven't matched Kirkenes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Skarp's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Kirkenes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Skarp Clean Sheet 14%
Kirkenes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skarp Kirkenes
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 11 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 2.03 2.31
Goals Conceded 2 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Skarp vs Kirkenes
1:2
Jun 12, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Kirkenes vs Skarp
4:0
Sep 12, 2015 Division 3 - Group 12
Skarp vs Kirkenes
1:3
May 31, 2015 Division 3 - Group 12
Kirkenes vs Skarp
4:3
Aug 23, 2014 Division 3 - Group 12
Skarp vs Kirkenes
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skarp 84 / 100
Kirkenes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skarp Kirkenes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skarp Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skarp's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Kirkenes conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Skarp remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skarp VS Kirkenes
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 11
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Skarp

(Home)
27 Oct
Finnsnes
1 : 1
Skarp
20 Oct
Skarp
3 : 3
Korsvoll
14 Oct
Lyn
7 : 1
Skarp
06 Oct
Skarp
3 : 1
Sortland
30 Sept
Grei
3 : 0
Skarp
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Kirkenes

(Away)
10 Apr
Kirkenes
0 : 11
Alta
08 Oct
Kirkenes
0 : 1
Alta 2
01 Oct
Tverrelvdalen
0 : 3
Kirkenes
24 Sept
Kirkenes
0 : 0
Bjornevatn IL
18 Sept
Skarp
1 : 2
Kirkenes
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