Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Tarczynski Arena, Wrocław
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Samiec-Talar P.
3' Event
Samiec-Talar P.
46'
Sub
Ali H. In: Lawa N.
Out: Ali H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Slask Wroclaw
30%
Draws
47%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogon Szczecin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin haven't matched Slask Wroclaw's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Slask Wroclaw have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pogon Szczecin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Slask Wroclaw Clean Sheet 16%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slask Wroclaw Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Polish Cup
Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw
5:3
Feb 11, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin
0:1
Aug 30, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slask Wroclaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Samiec-Talar P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matsenko Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pogon Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukairu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slask Wroclaw 31 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slask Wroclaw Pogon Szczecin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slask Wroclaw's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Pogon Szczecin has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Slask Wroclaw remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slask Wroclaw VS Pogon Szczecin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slask Wroclaw

(Home)
18 Sept
Wisla
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
28 Aug
Legia
1 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Szczecin

(Away)
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -