Sport Picks
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Belarus
Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Junost, Mozyr 
Match Events
15'
15'
Solovey A.
42'
42'
Sub
Polyakov D. In: Kaplenko N.
Out: Polyakov D.
62'
62'
Lutsevich T.
Assist: Lukashov A.
AI Match Summary
Slavia Mozyr in this Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Slavia Mozyr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk haven't matched Slavia Mozyr's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Slavia Mozyr's way, sitting at 50%.
- Slavia Mozyr have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Slavia Mozyr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slavia Mozyr | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Slavia Mozyr Compare
Top Goalscorer Solovey A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lutsevich T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slavia Mozyr 59 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slavia Mozyr Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Slavia Mozyr scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Slavia Mozyr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Slavia Mozyr VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Slavia Mozyr
(Home) 26 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 1 Dynamo Brest
19 Jul
Volna Pinsk
0 : 5 Slavia Mozyr
11 Jul
Dynamo Brest
4 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4 ML Vitebsk
26 Jun
FK Baranovici
1 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 1 Dynamo Brest
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4 ML Vitebsk
20 Jun
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 2 Isloch Minsk
31 May
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 1 Belshina
24 May
Slavia Mozyr
1 : 1 BATE
Page 1 of 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
(Away) 26 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 3 Neman
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3 Vitebsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
26 Jun
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 1 FC Gomel
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
21 Jun
BATE
2 : 3 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
14 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
23 May
Dynamo Brest
3 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk0
Volna Pinsk3
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha2
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Polotsk0
FK Baranovici5
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Svisloch1
FC Slonim4
TBD-
Neman-
Gazovik Vitebsk0
Ostrovets6
TBD-
Slutsk-
FK Miory0
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Mozyrskiy NPZ0
Lokomotiv Gomel3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Dnepr Mogilev-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Krechet0
Osipovichi4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Technolog Mogilev0
DMedia6
TBD-
FC Gomel-
FK Inform0
FK Lida6
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Belshina-
TBD-
TBD-
Molodechno-
Nadezhda Baranovici0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
Smorgon-
Neman Mosty0
BumProm Gomel4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Bobovnya1
Krumkachy2
TBD-
Naftan-
Agro Pelishche0
SKA-1938 Minsk2
TBD-
BATE-
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk2
FC Minsk3
Orsha1
Dynamo Brest8
FK Baranovici1
ML Vitebsk2
FC Slonim1
Neman0
Ostrovets0
Slutsk3
Niva Dolbizno0
Isloch Minsk4
Lokomotiv Gomel1
Din. Minsk2
Dnepr Mogilev0
Vitebsk1
Osipovichi1
Slavia Mozyr5
DMedia0
FC Gomel2
FK Lida0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Belshina0
Molodechno3
Uni X Labs0
Smorgon2
BumProm Gomel0
Zhodino2
Krumkachy1
Naftan2
SKA-1938 Minsk0
BATE1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk2
Dynamo Brest3
ML Vitebsk8
FC Slonim1
Slutsk1
Isloch Minsk2
Din. Minsk2
Vitebsk1
Slavia Mozyr1
FC Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Molodechno0
Smorgon0
Zhodino4
Naftan3
BATE4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest0
ML Vitebsk4
Isloch Minsk1
Din. Minsk2
Slavia Mozyr4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Zhodino1
BATE2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk3
Slavia Mozyr0
BATE3
Final
Din. Minsk1
BATE2
