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Sleipner vs Smedby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Matic O.
83' Event
Gren J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Sleipner and Smedby finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sleipner
30%
Draws
30%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sleipner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sleipner carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sleipner taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Sleipner Clean Sheet 13%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sleipner Smedby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.03 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Smedby
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Sleipner
1:2
Mar 31, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Smedby
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Sleipner
2:2
May 26, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Smedby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sleipner Compare

Top Goalscorer Matic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Gren J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sleipner 84 / 100
Smedby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sleipner Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sleipner Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sleipner scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Smedby let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sleipner went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sleipner VS Smedby
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sleipner

(Home)
05 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 3
Sleipner
29 Aug
Sleipner
7 : 1
Eker Orebro
22 Aug
Ragsved
0 : 4
Sleipner
13 Aug
Sleipner
2 : 1
Lindo FF
09 Aug
Nykopings
1 : 0
Sleipner
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Smedby

(Away)
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
15 Aug
Smedby
1 : 0
Eker Orebro
08 Aug
Karlslund
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 20 12 4 4 46:32 40
2 Farsta 20 12 3 5 44:22 39
3 Haninge 20 11 3 6 49:36 36
4 Forward 20 11 3 6 38:25 36
5 Nykopings 20 11 3 6 34:21 36
6 Smedby 20 10 5 5 39:26 35
7 Ragsved 20 9 5 6 38:32 32
8 Fittja IF 20 9 3 8 33:32 30
9 Karlslund 20 6 6 8 28:32 24
10 Orebro Syrianska 20 6 2 12 19:25 20
11 Nacka FC 20 5 3 12 22:39 18
12 Lindo FF 20 5 2 13 26:39 17
13 Syrianska 20 4 5 11 28:48 17
14 Eker Orebro 20 4 3 13 22:57 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)