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Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers

Ireland Ireland

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AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers play Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sligo Rovers averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. Shamrock Rovers averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Sligo Rovers won 2, Shamrock Rovers won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Sligo Rovers and 1.81 for Shamrock Rovers. This points to a Shamrock Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sligo Rovers
18%
Draws
54%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Shamrock Rovers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 11%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
1:2
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzgerald W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Byrne J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burke G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 27 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Shamrock Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamrock Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shamrock Rovers & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sligo Rovers attacking → ← attacking Shamrock Rovers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sligo Rovers scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Shamrock Rovers let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sligo Rovers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Shamrock Rovers lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 65
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks23125638:1941
4Dundalk2398637:3435
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United22661029:3724
8Drogheda23571127:4022
9Waterford23481132:4620
10Sligo Rovers23551318:3720