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Sliven vs Dimitrovgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024 Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium, Sliven
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Sliven and Dimitrovgrad finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sliven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sliven
15%
Draws
57%
Dimitrovgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dimitrovgrad come out ahead of Sliven on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Dimitrovgrad taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sliven Clean Sheet 20%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sliven Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.47 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Dimitrovgrad
2:0
Nov 11, 2023 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sliven
2:0
May 6, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Dimitrovgrad
2:3
Oct 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sliven
3:2
May 18, 2016 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Dimitrovgrad
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sliven 10 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sliven Dimitrovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sliven scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Dimitrovgrad let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Dimitrovgrad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dimitrovgrad
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sliven

(Home)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
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Dimitrovgrad

(Away)
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
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