Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sliven vs Dimitrovgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024 Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium, Sliven
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Sliven and Dimitrovgrad finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sliven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sliven
6%
Draws
90%
Dimitrovgrad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dimitrovgrad's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Sliven have produced (0).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dimitrovgrad taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dimitrovgrad have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sliven Clean Sheet 10%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sliven Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 13.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Dimitrovgrad
2:0
Nov 11, 2023 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sliven
2:0
May 6, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Dimitrovgrad
2:3
Oct 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sliven
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sliven 10 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sliven Dimitrovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dimitrovgrad has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sliven scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Dimitrovgrad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sliven VS Dimitrovgrad
0 Goals Scored 1.25
13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sliven

(Home)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

Dimitrovgrad

(Away)
29 May
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
23 May
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
16 May
Maritsa Milevo
1 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
13 May
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 2
Levski Karlovo
09 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar382981121:3995
2OFC Haskovo38303597:2693
3Spartak Plovdiv382963122:2293
4Gigant Saedinenie38218981:4371
5Zagorets382161179:4269
6Dimitrovgrad381910960:4067
7Botev II381871384:5561
8Atletik Kuklen381841660:7158
9Rozova Dolina381751660:5056
10Rodopa Smolyan381561764:6351
11Asenovets381461859:7348
12Lok. Plovdiv II381451965:5947
13Sozopol3812101657:5346
14Sekirovo Rakovski381172059:7540
15Levski Karlovo381152256:9138
16Yambol 1915389101949:8237
17Karnobat381112646:10634
18Sliven38862442:12730
19Sokol Markovo38832736:9827
20Beroe II38623026:10820
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)