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Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Vitez

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sloboda Tuzla play NK Vitez in the Prva Liga - FBiH. Sloboda Tuzla are favorites here. Recently, Sloboda Tuzla averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. NK Vitez averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Sloboda Tuzla won 5, NK Vitez won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.63 for NK Vitez. This points to a Sloboda Tuzla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sloboda Tuzla
15%
Draws
28%
NK Vitez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sloboda Tuzla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Sloboda Tuzla picked up more points recently compared to NK Vitez.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Sloboda Tuzla Clean Sheet 29%
NK Vitez Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloboda Tuzla NK Vitez
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK Vitez vs Sloboda Tuzla
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Vitez
3:1
Apr 28, 2018 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Vitez
2:0
Mar 17, 2018 WWIN Liga BiH
NK Vitez vs Sloboda Tuzla
0:3
Nov 18, 2017 WWIN Liga BiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Vitez
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sloboda Tuzla Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseinbasic E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smajic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

NK Vitez Compare

Top Goalscorer Karalic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloboda Tuzla 57 / 100
NK Vitez 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloboda Tuzla NK Vitez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Tuzla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sloboda Tuzla & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sloboda Tuzla attacking → ← attacking NK Vitez

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloboda Tuzla scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

NK Vitez let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sloboda Tuzla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

NK Vitez lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 29
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Celik Zenica26178152:1959
2Stupcanica26125940:2741
3Sloboda Tuzla26125934:2941
4Jedinstvo Bihac26125929:3641
5NK GOSK Gabela26117836:2640
6Travnik26107935:2637
7TOSK Tesanj26107935:3037
8Hadzici261061034:3736
9Tomislav26881038:3532
10Igman Konjic26951229:4432
11Banovici26871131:3331
12Bratstvo Gracanica26710926:2831
13NK Vitez26841427:3828
14Tuzla City26521920:5817