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Sloga Vinica vs Lokomotiva Gradsko

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sloga Vinica play Lokomotiva Gradsko in the 2. MFL 2021/2022. Sloga Vinica are favorites here. Recently, Sloga Vinica averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Lokomotiva Gradsko averaged 0.69 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. In past meetings, Sloga Vinica won 3, Lokomotiva Gradsko won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2022 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Sloga Vinica and 1.94 for Lokomotiva Gradsko. This points to a Sloga Vinica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Sloga Vinica
15%
Draws
19%
Lokomotiva Gradsko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sloga Vinica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Sloga Vinica picked up more points recently compared to Lokomotiva Gradsko.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Sloga Vinica Clean Sheet 10%
Lokomotiva Gradsko Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Vinica Lokomotiva Gradsko
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 9 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 1.41 0.69
Goals Conceded 2.47 3.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 2. MFL
Sloga Vinica vs Lokomotiva Gradsko
8:0
Nov 27, 2021 2. MFL
Sloga Vinica vs Lokomotiva Gradsko
3:0
Sep 12, 2021 2. MFL
Lokomotiva Gradsko vs Sloga Vinica
1:2
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Lokomotiva Gradsko vs Sloga Vinica
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Vinica 61 / 100
Lokomotiva Gradsko 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Vinica Lokomotiva Gradsko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloga Vinica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sloga Vinica & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sloga Vinica attacking → ← attacking Lokomotiva Gradsko

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloga Vinica scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Lokomotiva Gradsko let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sloga Vinica went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lokomotiva Gradsko lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 10
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pobeda27195364:2162
2Belasica Strumica27185456:1459
3Sloga Vinica27174641:2255
4Kamenica Sasa27136832:1845
5Kozuf Gevgelija27910831:2437
6Detonit Plackovica27971133:3734
7FK Pehchevo271031435:3133
8Osogovo27871234:4531
9Bratstvo 0727432019:5915
10Lokomotiva Gradsko27142212:867
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sileks27206155:966
2Voska Sport27185451:1459
3Vardar27184547:1558
4KF Gostivar27910836:3737
5Teteks271061132:4436
6Besa 197627981041:2835
7Ohrid27951334:3232
8FK Korab27761433:4327
9Veleshta27461725:6118
10Kadino Skopje27142213:847