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Slovan Ljubljana vs NK Krka Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Krznaric J.
26'
Lipec A.
61'
Kapun N.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Slovan Ljubljana and NK Krka finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Slovan Ljubljana
15%
Draws
39%
NK Krka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slovan Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Slovan Ljubljana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Slovan Ljubljana's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 14%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovan Ljubljana NK Krka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Slovan Ljubljana
2:3
Apr 12, 2026 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs NK Krka
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Slovan Ljubljana
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
NK Krka vs Slovan Ljubljana
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs NK Krka
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovan Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondic I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serbec M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Krznaric J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovan Ljubljana 35 / 100
NK Krka 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovan Ljubljana NK Krka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Slovan Ljubljana scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: NK Krka conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Slovan Ljubljana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slovan Ljubljana VS NK Krka
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovan Ljubljana

(Home)
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
27 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
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NK Krka

(Away)
03 Oct
Tabor Sezana
2 : 1
NK Krka
27 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 0
NK Krka
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)