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Slovan Most vs Modra

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - Bratislava 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 4. liga - Bratislava 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Slovan Most
15%
Draws
85%
Modra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Modra lately — more wins on the board than Slovan Most.
  • Model gives Modra a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 4. liga - Bratislava 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Slovan Most Clean Sheet 20%
Modra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovan Most Modra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Slovan Most vs Modra
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Slovan Most
0:0
May 26, 2024 4. liga - Bratislava
Slovan Most vs Modra
3:3
Oct 21, 2023 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Slovan Most
3:1
Aug 26, 2020 Slovak Cup
Modra vs Slovan Most
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovan Most 10 / 100
Modra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovan Most Modra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Modra conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Modra has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Slovan Most's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Modra
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovan Most

(Home)
30 Jul
Senkvice
1 : 0
Slovan Most
13 Jun
MSK Senec
4 : 1
Slovan Most
07 Jun
Slovan Most
0 : 6
Ivanka pri Dunaji
31 May
SDM Domino
6 : 0
Slovan Most
25 May
Slovan Most
0 : 1
Bernolakovo
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Modra

(Away)
13 Jun
Tomasov
1 : 0
Modra
06 Jun
Modra
3 : 2
Nova Dedinka
31 May
Dunajska Luzna
4 : 1
Modra
23 May
Modra
1 : 3
Bernolakovo
17 May
Rusovce
1 : 4
Modra
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