Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Akason A.
50'
50'
Salmon M.
76'
76'
Gunnarsson G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Smari advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Smari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Smari carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Smari taking it.
- Smari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Smari, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Smari Clean Sheet 10%
Falkar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smari | Falkar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 2 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.2 | 5.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.56 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Smari vs Falkar
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smari Compare
Top Goalscorer Akason A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salmon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.74
Avg xA / game 1.78
Falkar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smari 47 / 100
Falkar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smari Falkar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Smari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Smari's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 10 recent games.
Defensive concern: Falkar conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Smari has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Smari VS Falkar
1.63 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 5.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Smari
(Home) 28 Mar
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Smari
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
09 Apr
Olafsvik
5 : 1 Smari
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
05 Apr
Smari
2 : 3 Arbaer
Page 1 of 2
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
05 Apr
Smari
2 : 3 Arbaer
08 Apr
Smari
1 : 6 Aegir
10 Apr
Smari
2 : 4 KFS
Page 1 of 2
Falkar
(Away) 20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0 Falkar
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0 Falkar
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1
