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Stadium Background

Smedby vs Syrianska

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Gren J.
67' Event
Gren J.
69' Event
Onoseke-Longadi J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Smedby and Syrianska finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Smedby
35%
Draws
40%
Syrianska
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Syrianska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smedby come out ahead of Syrianska on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Smedby Clean Sheet 19%
Syrianska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Syrianska
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Smedby
2:2
May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Syrianska
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Smedby
1:0
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Syrianska
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs Smedby
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Gren J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Onoseke-Longadi J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Syrianska Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 32 / 100
Syrianska 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Syrianska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syrianska Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smedby scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Syrianska conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Smedby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Syrianska
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

Syrianska

(Away)
20 Sept
Syrianska
3 : 1
Sleipner
14 Sept
Haninge
0 : 2
Syrianska
06 Sept
Syrianska
0 : 0
Fittja IF
30 Aug
Karlslund
3 : 1
Syrianska
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 22 13 4 5 48:35 43
2 Farsta 22 13 3 6 47:25 42
3 Forward 22 13 3 6 42:26 42
4 Nykopings 22 12 3 7 37:22 39
5 Haninge 22 12 3 7 54:42 39
6 Smedby 22 10 5 7 39:30 35
7 Ragsved 22 10 5 7 40:34 35
8 Fittja IF 22 10 3 9 35:34 33
9 Karlslund 22 7 6 9 31:35 27
10 Orebro Syrianska 22 8 2 12 23:25 26
11 Syrianska 22 6 5 11 33:49 23
12 Nacka FC 22 6 3 13 23:40 21
13 Lindo FF 22 5 2 15 27:43 17
14 Eker Orebro 22 4 3 15 26:65 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)