Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smederevo vs Bezanija

Serbia Serbia

Prva Liga 2019/2020 Stadion FK Smederevo, Smederevo
Sat, Aug 10, 2019
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smederevo host Bezanija in the Prva Liga 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Smederevo have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Bezanija's 1.6 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Bezanija slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 3, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.60 - 1.29) back Bezanija to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Smederevo
20%
Draws
51%
Bezanija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bezanija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smederevo come out ahead of Bezanija on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bezanija a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 19%
Bezanija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo Bezanija
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.57 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2019 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Bezanija vs Smederevo
0:0
Aug 10, 2019 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Bezanija
0:0
Mar 15, 2014 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Bezanija
2:4
Aug 31, 2013 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Bezanija vs Smederevo
2:0
Apr 25, 2009 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Bezanija vs Smederevo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 28 / 100
Bezanija 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo Bezanija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezanija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smederevo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Bezanija has conceded goals in 60% of their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Smederevo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS Bezanija
2.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3
Javor
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1
Smederevo
24 Aug
Smederevo
1 : 1
Teleoptik
Page 1 of 6

Bezanija

(Away)
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Bezanija
2 : 0
Bacevac
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
29 Aug
Bezanija
0 : 3
Buducnost Dobanovci
21 Aug
Usce
1 : 0
Bezanija

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Graficar Beograd 30 16 6 8 49:27 54
2 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 14 12 4 33:18 54
3 Backa 30 16 5 9 40:26 53
4 Metalac 30 16 5 9 41:34 53
5 Kolubara 30 13 8 9 35:25 47
6 Radnicki Pirot 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
7 Kabel Novi Sad 30 14 10 6 31:20 42
8 Radnicki 1923 30 11 9 10 31:26 42
9 Novi Pazar 30 11 7 12 32:31 40
10 Zarkovo 30 10 10 10 35:36 40
11 Din. Vranje 30 10 7 13 34:38 37
12 Zemun 30 8 9 13 25:29 33
13 Trayal Krusevac 30 7 10 13 21:30 31
14 Sindjelic Beograd 30 6 7 17 27:55 25
15 Smederevo 30 9 5 16 27:47 22
16 Buducnost Dobanovci 30 5 7 18 21:41 22
17 Borac 1926 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Bezanija 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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