Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smederevo vs Borac 1926

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga Stadion FK Smederevo, Smederevo
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Spiridonovic S.
39' Event
Lukovic S.
48' Event
Djuric S.

AI Match Summary

Smederevo in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Smederevo
15%
Draws
54%
Borac 1926
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borac 1926

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Borac 1926 lately — more wins on the board than Smederevo.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 16%
Borac 1926 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo Borac 1926
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.58 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Borac 1926
3:2
May 11, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Borac 1926
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Borac 1926
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Borac 1926 vs Smederevo
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Borac 1926 vs Smederevo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Spiridonovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lukovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Borac 1926 Compare

Top Goalscorer Djuric S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 31 / 100
Borac 1926 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo Borac 1926

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smederevo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Borac 1926 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Smederevo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS Borac 1926
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3
Javor
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1
Smederevo
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Borac 1926

(Away)
20 Sept
Teleoptik
1 : 2
Borac 1926
16 Sept
Borac 1926
1 : 2
Metalac
13 Sept
OFK Bor 1919
0 : 1
Borac 1926
05 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 1
Graficar Beograd
30 Aug
Vrsac
1 : 2
Borac 1926
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 10 8 0 2 18:11 24
2 Vrsac 10 7 0 3 16:10 21
3 TSC Backa Topola 10 5 5 0 18:10 20
4 Javor 10 5 4 1 25:12 19
5 Smederevo 10 5 3 2 19:13 18
6 Spartak Subotica 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
7 Metalac 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
8 FK Vozdovac 10 4 2 4 11:10 14
9 Dubocica 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
10 Napredak 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
11 Loznica 10 2 6 2 14:16 12
12 OFK Bor 1919 10 2 2 6 7:17 8
13 Proleter 023 10 1 4 5 10:15 7
14 Jedinstvo Ub 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
15 Graficar Beograd 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
16 Teleoptik 10 1 4 5 11:19 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)