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Stadium Background

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tyunis I.
43' Event
Minko A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between SMIavtotrans Smolevichi and Viktoria Maryina Gorka finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
6%
Draws
4%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SMIavtotrans Smolevichi's 2.38 goals per match outpaces what Viktoria Maryina Gorka have produced (2.13).
  • SMIavtotrans Smolevichi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Clean Sheet 10%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Viktoria Maryina Gorka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Viktoria Maryina Gorka vs SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
2:0
May 30, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Minko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Viktoria Maryina Gorka Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyunis I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 83 / 100
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Viktoria Maryina Gorka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Viktoria Maryina Gorka let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Viktoria Maryina Gorka's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi VS Viktoria Maryina Gorka
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

(Home)
24 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
4 : 3
Ivatsevichi
17 Oct
Ivatsevichi
6 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
10 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
2 : 6
ML Vitebsk
03 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1 : 3
Osipovichi
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
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Viktoria Maryina Gorka

(Away)
19 Jul
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1 : 8
Belshina
28 May
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1 : 0
Nadezhda Baranovici
30 May
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
0 : 1
FK Lida
03 Apr
Belshina
4 : 0
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
24 Oct
Ostrovets
5 : 0
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dnepr Mogilev201901105:957
2Petrikov20161380:1649
3Osipovichi20121744:3537
4Gorki20105535:2135
5Viktoria Maryina Gorka2094743:3731
6ML Vitebsk2093846:4530
7SMIavtotrans Smolevichi20821045:5326
8BumProm Gomel20731029:5124
9Polotsk20411527:7813
10Energetik-BGATU20231528:599
11Zhlobin20211714:927
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