Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Eijgenraam F.
85'
85'
Eekman T.
90'
90'
Eijgenraam F.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Smitshoek and TOGB finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOGB
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and TOGB come out ahead of Smitshoek on wins alone.
- TOGB are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 15%
TOGB Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smitshoek | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs TOGB
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Smitshoek
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smitshoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Eekman T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
TOGB Compare
Top Goalscorer Eijgenraam F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smitshoek 10 / 100
TOGB 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smitshoek TOGB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOGB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Smitshoek scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
TOGB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
TOGB's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS TOGB
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Smitshoek
(Home) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
19 Apr
Smitshoek
1 : 2 TOGB
05 Apr
Smitshoek
0 : 2 SteDoCo
15 Mar
Smitshoek
0 : 2 Meerssen
Page 1 of 3
TOGB
(Away) 19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
