Sport Picks
Sobradinho vs Brasilia FC (DF)
Brazil
Brasiliense Estádio Defelé 
AI Match Summary
Sobradinho play Brasilia FC (DF) in the Brasiliense. Sobradinho are favorites here. Recently, Sobradinho averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Brasilia FC (DF) averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Sobradinho won 3, Brasilia FC (DF) won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Sobradinho and 0.75 for Brasilia FC (DF). This points to a Sobradinho double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sobradinho picked up more points recently compared to Brasilia FC (DF).
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.75 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sobradinho | Brasilia FC (DF) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sobradinho Compare
Brasilia FC (DF) Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sobradinho scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Brasilia FC (DF) let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Sobradinho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Brasilia FC (DF) lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia FC (DF) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | 3 |