Sport Picks
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak
Uzbekistan
Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh 
Match Events
4'
4'
Urinboev Z.
Assist: Mavlonkulov S.
31'
31'
Sub
Bureev P. In: Abdulkhakov I.
Out: Bureev P.
33'
33'
Ivanovic F.
Assist: Doriev L.
AI Match Summary
Sogdiana in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogdiana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sogdiana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mashal Muborak haven't matched Sogdiana's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sogdiana's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sogdiana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 20%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sogdiana | Mashal Muborak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak
5:2
Aug 2, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Sogdiana
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Sogdiana
1:0
Aug 24, 2022 Uzbekistan Cup
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sogdiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Urinboev Z.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ivanovic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Mashal Muborak Compare
Top Goalscorer Jurabaev M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murtazoev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sogdiana 85 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sogdiana Mashal Muborak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mashal Muborak let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Mashal Muborak registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Sogdiana scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sogdiana VS Mashal Muborak
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sogdiana
(Home) 20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2 OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2 OKMK
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Jayxun
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
06 Aug
Sogdiana
1 : 0 Andijan
Page 1 of 4
Mashal Muborak
(Away) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1 Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
