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Sogndal U19 vs Aarhus U19

Norway Norway

Junior Elite Tournament 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Sogndal U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sogndal U19
33%
Draws
41%
Aarhus U19
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aarhus U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sogndal U19 come out ahead of Aarhus U19 on wins alone.
  • Aarhus U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sogndal U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sogndal U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Sogndal U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Aarhus U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal U19 Aarhus U19
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 13 1
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 1.97 2
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2018 Junior Elite Tournament
Sogndal U19 vs Aarhus U19
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal U19 10 / 100
Aarhus U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal U19 Aarhus U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal U19 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Aarhus U19 conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sogndal U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal U19 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal U19

(Home)
29 Apr
Asane U19
4 : 0
Sogndal U19
26 Mar
Asane U19
2 : 1
Sogndal U19
21 Mar
Sogndal U19
3 : 2
Bryne U19
14 Mar
Stromsgodset U19
7 : 0
Sogndal U19
22 Feb
Sogndal U19
3 : 3
Kfum Oslo U19
Page 1 of 6

Aarhus U19

(Away)
09 Dec
Sogndal U19
1 : 0
Aarhus U19
07 Dec
Aarhus U19
4 : 4
Brondby U19
18 Nov
Hammarby U19
1 : 3
Aarhus U19
16 Nov
Aarhus U19
1 : 1
Rosenborg U19

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Stage 1
Sogndal U19 1
Aarhus U19 0
Midtjylland U19 2
Hammarby U19 1
Hacken U19 2
Rosenborg U19 4
Mjondalen U19 3
Brondby U19 2