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Sogndal vs Forde

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sogndal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogndal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sogndal
30%
Draws
12%
Forde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sogndal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Forde have won more games recently than Sogndal.
  • Win probability leans Sogndal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sogndal have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%
Forde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal Forde
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Forde
4:0
Apr 10, 2024 NM Cup
Forde vs Sogndal
2:6
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Forde
1:0
May 24, 2023 NM Cup
Forde vs Sogndal
1:3
Feb 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Forde
8:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 83 / 100
Forde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal Forde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Sogndal found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sogndal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Forde
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal

(Home)
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
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Forde

(Away)
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
12 Sept
V. Haugesund
9 : 0
Forde
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
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