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Sol de America vs Boca Unidos

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Antonio Romero
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sol de America play Boca Unidos in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sol de America averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Boca Unidos averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Sol de America won 4, Boca Unidos won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Sol de America and 0.88 for Boca Unidos. This points to a Sol de America double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sol de America
15%
Draws
37%
Boca Unidos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sol de America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Sol de America picked up more points recently compared to Boca Unidos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sol de America Clean Sheet 25%
Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de America Boca Unidos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Sol de America
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs Boca Unidos
3:0
Jun 27, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs Boca Unidos
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Sol de America
2:0
Jun 16, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs Boca Unidos
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de America 48 / 100
Boca Unidos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de America Boca Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sol de America or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sol de America attacking → ← attacking Boca Unidos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sol de America scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Boca Unidos let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sol de America went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Boca Unidos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 42
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sportivo Belgrano1677219:728
2Douglas Haig1684419:1228
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1674515:1025
49 de Julio Rafaela1674526:2325
5Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1665520:1723
6Sportivo Las Parejas1657411:1222
7Independiente Chivilcoy1646613:1918
8Atletico Escobar1653817:2618
9Gimnasia E.R.1644812:1716
10El Linqueno1634911:2013
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Martin Formosa1483324:1727
2Bartolome Mitre1465312:623
3Sol de America1472515:1023
4Sarmiento de La Banda1463514:1421
5Juventud Antoniana1454513:1019
6Defensores de Vilelas1561821:2519
7Boca Unidos1453617:1918
8Tucuman Central1451812:1516
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cipolletti1564518:1522
2Argentino MM1456315:1121
3Biblioteca Atenas1463512:1321
4Fundacion Amigos1447317:1419
5Huracan Las Heras1454510:1319
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1445510:1417
8Juventud U.U.1437410:916
9Deportivo Rincon1444612:1516
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alvarado1575319:726
2Kimberley1567214:825
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1467110:425
4Villa Mitre144738:519
5Germinal144647:1118
6Sol de Mayo1445511:1217
7Guillermo Brown1435611:1714
8Santamarina142669:1512
9Circulo Deportivo141674:149