Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sollentuna vs Gefle

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sollentunavallen, Sollentuna
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Zeberga J.
29' Event
Backstrom J.
46'
Sub
Zulum S. In: Sugita Y.
Out: Zulum S.

AI Match Summary

Sollentuna in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sollentuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sollentuna
15%
Draws
46%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gefle have won more games recently than Sollentuna.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sollentuna Clean Sheet 16%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sollentuna Gefle
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.18 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Gefle
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Sollentuna
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Sollentuna
5:1
Apr 26, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Gefle
0:1
Aug 22, 2023 Svenska Cupen
Sollentuna vs Gefle
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sollentuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Backstrom J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sollentuna 31 / 100
Gefle 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sollentuna Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefle let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sollentuna scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sollentuna remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sollentuna VS Gefle
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sollentuna

(Home)
16 Sept
Sollentuna
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1
Sollentuna
22 Aug
Sollentuna
2 : 1
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

Gefle

(Away)
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 22 15 3 4 53:19 48
2 AFC Eskilstuna 22 13 4 5 41:29 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
5 Karlstad 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
6 FBK Karlstad 22 11 5 6 36:32 38
7 Enkopings SK 22 12 2 8 35:36 38
8 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
9 Karlbergs 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
10 Gefle 22 8 3 11 28:41 27
11 Umea FC 22 7 5 10 28:37 26
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 22 5 8 9 21:31 23
14 FC Jarfalla 22 5 3 14 29:47 18
15 Pitea 22 3 6 13 24:43 15
16 IFK Stocksund 22 3 5 14 43:55 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)