Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Solomon Islands W
15%
Draws
73%
Tonga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Solomon Islands W have won more games recently than Tonga W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Solomon Islands W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Solomon Islands W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Solomon Islands W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Solomon Islands W Clean Sheet 17%
Tonga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands W Tonga W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.57 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.26 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
5:0
Nov 28, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
1:0
Jul 8, 2015 Pacific Games Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
0:2
Sep 30, 2010 OFC Nations Cup Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands W 30 / 100
Tonga W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands W Tonga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Solomon Islands W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Solomon Islands W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tonga W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Islands W VS Tonga W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Islands W

(Home)
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1
Vanuatu W
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1
Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
New Zealand W
8 : 0
Solomon Islands W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1
American Samoa W
22 Nov
Solomon Islands W
2 : 4
Vanuatu W
Page 1 of 6

Tonga W

(Away)
02 Dec
Tonga W
4 : 1
Tahiti W
28 Nov
Tonga W
0 : 3
American Samoa W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
11 Jul
Solomon Islands W
5 : 0
Tonga W
08 Jul
Fiji W
3 : 0
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Solomon Islands W 1
Vanuatu W 2
Tonga W 2
Tahiti W 0
Semi-finals
Solomon Islands W 1
Tonga W 0
Tahiti W 1
Vanuatu W 2