Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Solvesborgs vs Vaxjo Norra

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Magnusson L.
53' Event
Magnusson L.
64' Event
Nennesson L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Solvesborgs and Vaxjo Norra finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaxjo Norra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Solvesborgs
33%
Draws
27%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Solvesborgs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaxjo Norra's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Solvesborgs have produced (1).
  • Model gives Solvesborgs a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vaxjo Norra here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Solvesborgs Clean Sheet 11%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solvesborgs Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Vaxjo Norra
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Vaxjo Norra
2:2
May 16, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Solvesborgs
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solvesborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Nennesson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Issack I. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solvesborgs 38 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solvesborgs Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solvesborgs found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Vaxjo Norra conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solvesborgs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solvesborgs VS Vaxjo Norra
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solvesborgs

(Home)
27 Jun
Solvesborgs
1 : 0
Oskarshamn
18 Jun
Solvesborgs
1 : 1
Rappe GOIF
12 Jun
IFK Karlshamn
0 : 2
Solvesborgs
04 Jun
Solvesborgs
1 : 3
Torns
29 May
IFK Berga
3 : 2
Solvesborgs
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Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
26 Jun
IFK Berga
3 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
17 Jun
Oskarshamn
2 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
13 Jun
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Jun
Staffanstorp United
2 : 2
Vaxjo Norra
03 Jun
Hovshaga
0 : 5
Vaxjo Norra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)