Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Som Maresme vs Montanesa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Nou Estadi Municipal de Palamos, Palamos
Sun, Mar 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Som Maresme host Montanesa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. Som Maresme go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Som Maresme at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Montanesa at 1.07 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Som Maresme slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Som Maresme. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Som Maresme
25%
Draws
35%
Montanesa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Som Maresme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Montanesa have won more games recently than Som Maresme.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Som Maresme Clean Sheet 20%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Som Maresme Montanesa
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Som Maresme vs Montanesa
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Som Maresme
0:0
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Som Maresme vs Montanesa
4:1
Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Som Maresme
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Som Maresme 31 / 100
Montanesa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Som Maresme Montanesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Som Maresme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Montanesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Montanesa has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Som Maresme VS Montanesa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Som Maresme

(Home)

Montanesa

(Away)
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)