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Soma Spor vs Yeni Malatyaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Sun, Feb 15, 2026
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Soma Spor host Yeni Malatyaspor in the 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026. Soma Spor go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Soma Spor at 1.5 goals for, 0.63 against; Yeni Malatyaspor at 0 for, 2.63 against. Head-to-head, Soma Spor have won 2 to Yeni Malatyaspor's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.06 - 0.81) back Soma Spor to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Soma Spor
6%
Draws
4%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Soma Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Soma Spor lately — more wins on the board than Yeni Malatyaspor.
  • Soma Spor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 20%
Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soma Spor Yeni Malatyaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Soma Spor
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soma Spor 85 / 100
Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soma Spor Yeni Malatyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeni Malatyaspor has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Yeni Malatyaspor has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Soma Spor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Soma Spor VS Yeni Malatyaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Soma Spor

(Home)
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
19 Apr
Bursaspor
5 : 1
Soma Spor
12 Apr
Soma Spor
0 : 0
Aksaray Bld.
04 Apr
Menemenspor
2 : 1
Soma Spor
28 Mar
Soma Spor
2 : 0
Kirklarelispor
Page 1 of 6

Yeni Malatyaspor

(Away)
25 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
19 Apr
Menemenspor
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
12 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Kirklarelispor
05 Apr
Isparta 32 Spor
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
29 Mar
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Adanaspor AS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)