Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Soma Spor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Sun, Mar 1, 2026
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Soma Spor host Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu in the 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Soma Spor have conceded 1 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Soma Spor. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Soma Spor
6%
Draws
4%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Soma Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Soma Spor have won more games recently than Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
  • Soma Spor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 20%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soma Spor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Soma Spor
4:0
Feb 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Soma Spor
1:0
Mar 31, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Soma Spor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soma Spor 85 / 100
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soma Spor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Soma Spor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Soma Spor VS Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Soma Spor

(Home)
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
19 Apr
Bursaspor
5 : 1
Soma Spor
12 Apr
Soma Spor
0 : 0
Aksaray Bld.
04 Apr
Menemenspor
2 : 1
Soma Spor
28 Mar
Soma Spor
2 : 0
Kirklarelispor
Page 1 of 6

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

(Away)
25 Apr
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0 : 3
Kirklarelispor
19 Apr
Isparta 32 Spor
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
05 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
29 Mar
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0 : 3
Musspor
25 Mar
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0 : 3
Trabzon FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)