Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sona vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Longo P.
24' Event
Ruggeri A.
83' Event
Capelli A.

AI Match Summary

Ponte San Pietro in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ponte San Pietro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sona
20%
Draws
22%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponte San Pietro average 0.84 goals a game right now, well clear of Sona's 0.8.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sona Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.8 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Sona
3:3
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Ponte San Pietro
0:3
Apr 24, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Sona
1:2
Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Ponte San Pietro
1:5
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Sona
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ponte San Pietro Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruggeri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 41 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Ponte San Pietro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Ponte San Pietro let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Sona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ponte San Pietro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ponte San Pietro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Ponte San Pietro

(Away)
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3
Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1
Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5
Ponte San Pietro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)