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Sonseca vs CD Guadalajara B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64'
Carballo M.
72' Event
Guerrero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Sonseca and CD Guadalajara B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonseca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sonseca
15%
Draws
34%
CD Guadalajara B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonseca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sonseca haven't matched CD Guadalajara B's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 18%
CD Guadalajara B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonseca CD Guadalajara B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs CD Guadalajara B
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Guadalajara B vs Sonseca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonseca Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Guadalajara B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonseca 36 / 100
CD Guadalajara B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonseca CD Guadalajara B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Guadalajara B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonseca's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Guadalajara B conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: CD Guadalajara B registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sonseca VS CD Guadalajara B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonseca

(Home)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

CD Guadalajara B

(Away)
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 0
Villarrubia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)