Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Esposito M.
37'
37'
Sub
Cocetta N. In: Cargnelutti R.
Out: Cocetta N.
46'
46'
Sub
Zunno M. In: Maggio M.
Out: Zunno M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Crotone advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sorrento
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sorrento carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sorrento are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Sorrento have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sorrento, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sorrento | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sorrento vs Crotone
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Sorrento
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sorrento Compare
Top Goalscorer Esposito M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Ricci F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maggio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sorrento 49 / 100
Crotone 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sorrento Crotone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sorrento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Crotone conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Sorrento scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Sorrento remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sorrento VS Crotone
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sorrento
(Home) 03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0 Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0 Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2 Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3 Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Picerno
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0 Casarano
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2 Bari
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Picerno
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Cosenza
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
Page 1 of 3
Crotone
(Away) 03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1 Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1 Crotone
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
