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Sorrento vs Siracusa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sabbatani A.
33' Event
Sabbatani A.
37'
Capomaggio T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Sorrento and Siracusa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sorrento
20%
Draws
38%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sorrento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sorrento are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 20%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Siracusa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Siracusa
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Sorrento
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabbatani A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Siracusa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 42 / 100
Siracusa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Sorrento scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sorrento went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Siracusa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

Siracusa

(Away)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)