Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sotra vs Jerv

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Straume Fotballhall, Straume
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Aaserud M. In: Wik S.
Out: Aaserud M.
31' Event
Hjorteseth I.
45' Event
Syvertsen P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Sotra and Jerv finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sotra
15%
Draws
49%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jerv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sotra Clean Sheet 16%
Jerv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sotra Jerv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Jerv
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Sotra
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Jerv
2:1
Jul 7, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Sotra
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Jerv
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sotra Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjorteseth I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Jerv Compare

Top Goalscorer Syvertsen P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Richstad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sotra 31 / 100
Jerv 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sotra Jerv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sotra scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Jerv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sotra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sotra VS Jerv
3 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sotra

(Home)
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
30 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 3
Sotra
Page 1 of 6

Jerv

(Away)
19 Sept
Kvik Halden
0 : 2
Jerv
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Jerv
3 : 1
Brattvag
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 20 15 3 2 43:18 48
2 Brattvag 20 12 3 5 41:24 39
3 Mjondalen 20 12 2 6 36:27 38
4 Sotra 20 11 3 6 42:20 36
5 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 20 9 4 7 28:24 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 20 5 4 11 29:43 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Vidar 20 2 4 14 18:53 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 20 2 1 17 21:47 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)