Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sousa vs CSP

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2023
Sousa Logo

Sousa

4 - 1
FT
CSP Logo

CSP

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Luis Henrique
52' Event
Luis Henrique
71' Event
Carlos Vitor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2023 game between Sousa and CSP finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sousa
15%
Draws
59%
CSP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sousa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on CSP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sousa Clean Sheet 23%
CSP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa CSP
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
0:0
Feb 6, 2024 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Paraibano
Sousa vs CSP
4:1
Mar 17, 2019 Paraibano
Sousa vs CSP
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Paraibano
CSP vs Sousa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Henrique
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

CSP Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 24 / 100
CSP 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa CSP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSP conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sousa found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Sousa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 7

CSP

(Away)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Treze PB 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
3 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 3 2 7:6 15
4 Botafogo PB 9 3 6 0 11:6 15
5 Nacional PB 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
6 Campinense 9 3 5 1 8:6 14
7 CSP 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Serra Branca 9 1 6 2 8:11 9
9 Queimadense 9 0 4 5 6:13 4
10 Auto Esporte 9 0 2 7 7:18 2
Promotion - Paraibano 2023 (Play Offs)