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South Adelaide vs Eastern United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Papageorgiou L.
71' Event
Dawber D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
South Adelaide
33%
Draws
40%
Eastern United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Eastern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: South Adelaide at 1 per game, Eastern United at 0.63.
  • Model gives Eastern United a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 17%
Eastern United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Eastern United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Eastern United
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 SA State League
Eastern United vs South Adelaide
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Papageorgiou L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Eastern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawber D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 28 / 100
Eastern United 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Eastern United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

South Adelaide scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Eastern United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Eastern United
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Adelaide

(Home)
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
4 : 1
South Adelaide
27 Jun
South Adelaide
0 : 1
Fulham United
20 Jun
Cumberland United
5 : 1
South Adelaide
Page 1 of 6

Eastern United

(Away)
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 0
Eastern United
03 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
26 Jun
Eastern United
0 : 1
Cumberland United
20 Jun
Adelaide Cobras
1 : 1
Eastern United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders19131550:2340
2Adelaide Olympic19121638:2437
3Modbury Jets19105438:1835
4Fulham United19103638:2833
5Cumberland United19101834:2531
6Blue Eagles1994632:2731
7Adelaide Atletico1993733:2930
8The Cove FC1975726:2726
9Adelaide Cobras19621122:3720
10Eastern United19441118:3916
11Salisbury United19421324:4214
12South Adelaide19331320:5412
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)