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South Adelaide vs Eastern United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Papageorgiou L.
71' Event
Dawber D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
South Adelaide
15%
Draws
51%
Eastern United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • South Adelaide haven't matched Eastern United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Eastern United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Eastern United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Eastern United
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 SA State League
Eastern United vs South Adelaide
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Papageorgiou L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Eastern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawber D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 26 / 100
Eastern United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Eastern United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

South Adelaide scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Eastern United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Eastern United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Adelaide

(Home)
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6

Eastern United

(Away)
15 Aug
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Eastern United
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Fulham United
1 : 2
Eastern United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 0
Eastern United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
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