Sport Picks
South Africa U20 vs New Caledonia U20
World
World Cup U20 Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua 
Match Events
25'
25'
Nkwali S.
Assist: Phili L.
34'
34'
April S.
(Penalty)
44'
44'
Magidigidi S.
Assist: Vilakazi M.
AI Match Summary
South Africa U20 in this World Cup U20 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Africa U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- New Caledonia U20 haven't matched South Africa U20's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans South Africa U20's way, sitting at 90%.
- South Africa U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor South Africa U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
South Africa U20 Clean Sheet 68%
New Caledonia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Africa U20 | New Caledonia U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 13 |
| Wins | 30 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 6.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.33 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 6.67 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2025 World Cup U20
South Africa U20 vs New Caledonia U20
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Africa U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Magidigidi S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nkwali S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
New Caledonia U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Africa U20 95 / 100
New Caledonia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Africa U20 New Caledonia U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Africa U20's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 41 recent games.
New Caledonia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 13 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: New Caledonia U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Africa U20 VS New Caledonia U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 6.67
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
South Africa U20
(Home) 08 Oct
Colombia U20
3 : 1 South Africa U20
05 Oct
South Africa U20
2 : 1 USA U20
02 Oct
South Africa U20
5 : 0 New Caledonia U20
29 Sept
France U20
2 : 1 South Africa U20
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0 Malawi U20
Page 1 of 9
05 Oct
South Africa U20
2 : 1 USA U20
02 Oct
South Africa U20
5 : 0 New Caledonia U20
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0 Malawi U20
11 Jul
South Africa U20
2 : 0 Angola U20
09 Jul
South Africa U20
2 : 0 Eswatini U20
Page 1 of 7
New Caledonia U20
(Away) 05 Oct
New Caledonia U20
0 : 6 France U20
02 Oct
South Africa U20
5 : 0 New Caledonia U20
29 Sept
USA U20
9 : 1 New Caledonia U20
13 Sept
New Zealand U20
3 : 1 New Caledonia U20
10 Sept
New Caledonia U20
0 : 1 Vanuatu U20
Page 1 of 3
02 Oct
South Africa U20
5 : 0 New Caledonia U20
29 Sept
USA U20
9 : 1 New Caledonia U20
13 Sept
New Zealand U20
3 : 1 New Caledonia U20
03 Sept
Papua New Guinea U20
1 : 4 New Caledonia U20
25 Mar
New Zealand U20
3 : 2 New Caledonia U20
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Chile U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 3 | Egypt U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ukraine U20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Paraguay U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Mexico U20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Spain U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Brazil U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Australia U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Cuba U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13:3 | 6 |
| 2 | South Africa U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | France U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 4 | New Caledonia U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:20 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia U20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Norway U20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Nigeria U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams